There are more COVID-19 cases in N.L. than reported, but modeller doesn’t expect further spikes – CBC

15-20%of province has likely caught COVID, Fitzgerald says

Mar 10, 2022

A COVID-19 modeller in Newfoundland and Labrador says more cases are spreading across the province than reported but the removal of public health measures next week likely won’t cause a dramatic spike in new infections.

Amy Hurford, a mathematical biologist at Memorial University, says she has worked to estimate the true number of COVID-19 positive people in Newfoundland and Labrador, as the number reported by public health officials often doesn’t paint the full picture of spread in the province.

COVID-19 testing criteria has changed in recent months, and positive test results found through rapid antigen tests don’t appear in public figures.

Hurford conducted her own research on the number of positive cases in January, asking parents to supply the test results of children returning to school in the winter.

“Based on the percentage of reported positives, we estimated that … for every one reported case, [there were] about 5.4 unreported cases,” Hurford told CBC News on Tuesday.

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