Sask. Health Authority modelling projects record COVID-19 hospitalization numbers in Feb. – CBC
Premier Moe says government focusing on ‘real-time data’
Jan 20, 2022
Recent modelling from the Saskatchewan Health Authority (SHA) projects Saskatchewan almost doubling its record for people in hospital with COVID-19 by mid-February, even in the most optimistic scenario.
Health policy consultant and retired Saskatchewan physician Dennis Kendel shared the internal SHA modelling on Twitter Wednesday. The modelling outlines five scenarios, with each calculated based on different potential rates of the severity of Omicron compared to Delta, different doubling times for the virus, and different levels of population mixing.
The most severe scenario projects more than 1,500 people in hospital with COVID-19 in mid-February, not including those in ICUs. That scenario is based on a 6.1-day doubling time, Omicron being 40 per cent as severe as Delta, and hospital stays for Omicron being 25 per cent shorter than those for Delta.
Read more: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/sask-modelling-covid19-1.6321642
