Premier Doug Ford speaks as new COVID-19 modelling released – CBC

Ontario’s Omicron wave subsiding, but some resurgence in COVID-19 cases expected, science table says

Feb 01, 2022

Ontario’s COVID-19 science table says while indicators suggest the Omicron wave has plateaued or is in decline, the easing of public health measures will likely be followed by an increase in cases of the virus.

In new modelling released Tuesday, the group says it is challenging to project the spread of the virus due to changes in testing in the province. However, the table says that an increase in cases, hospitalizations and ICU admissions is likely as things reopen.

“The size of any resurgence is difficult to predict and will depend on vaccination, the spread of Omicron, and changes in behaviour (e.g., mobility, masking),” the modelling notes.

The modelling shows a wide range of scenarios for hospital admissions after many businesses and facilities were allowed to reopen this week with capacity limits.

The scenarios depend partly on how many people in the community have immunity from recent Omicron infections — a challenging number to determine given limits the province has placed on access to PCR testing, the group says.

Read more: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-covid-science-advisory-table-1.6334722

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