Ottawa’s COVID-19 cases expected to climb – CBC

Stay-at-home order not as effective with variants in equation, says scientist

Apr 16, 2021

Ottawa is on track to break even more COVID-19 records next week and if people don’t take the stay-at-home order more seriously, it’s going to be even worse, according to a modelling scientist.

Dr. Doug Manuel, a senior scientist with The Ottawa Hospital who does the modelling of local numbers, projects that the city will see a daily record of 480 new COVID-19 cases in a week from now, as a safe estimate.

Other COVID-19 indicators like hospitalizations, which was at 84 in Ottawa Thursday, will likely be in the triple digits, he added. Manuel estimates between 100 and 150 people will be hospitalized by next week.

“It’s definitely going to go up, but the short-term models are just a bit unclear right now about how quickly they’re going to go up,” said Manuel. “We’ll definitely see more record days in the future for cases.”

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