COVID-19 vaccination rate must rise above 85% to avoid fall lockdown, Ontario modelling shows – CBC

If province can’t reduce spread, boost vaccination, ICU occupancy will exceed 3rd wave by October

Sep 01, 2021

New modelling released Wednesday by Ontario’s COVID-19 science advisory table says more than 85 per cent of the eligible population needs to be vaccinated to avoid a lockdown this fall due to the highly contagious delta variant.

The table said Ontarians also need to reduce contacts to about 70 per cent of pre-pandemic levels until vaccination levels are high enough to protect the population. To reduce contacts, the table recommends:

Reducing indoor density, maintaining physical distancing, limiting large gatherings.
Continuing indoor mask policies and working from home.
Implementing policies that accelerate vaccination (e.g. certificates, mandates, outreach).
The table confirmed that Ontario is in the fourth wave of the pandemic and it said its modelling predicts the resulting spike in cases will be “substantial.”

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