‘Circuit breaker’ measures needed to prevent Omicron from overwhelming ICUs, science table says – CBC

2,421 new COVID-19 cases reported today, up 88% from last Thursday

Dec 16, 2021

Ontario’s COVID-19 science table on Thursday called for immediate and stringent public health measures to combat a growing surge of the Omicron variant that could see ICU admissions reach “unsustainable levels” early next year.

The group’s latest modelling suggests that without “circuit breaker” restrictions to reduce social contacts by about 50 per cent, booster shots alone will likely not be enough to stop daily cases reaching between 6,000 and more than 10,000 per day by the end of 2021.

Such measures, coupled with a sustained booster shot campaign of about 250,000 to 350,000 daily, could keep new cases below 5,000 per day in the same time frame, the table said. The most new infections ever recorded in Ontario during the pandemic were 4,812 on April 16, during the peak of the third wave.

“It’s not a lockdown, it’s not a stay-at-home order. But it does involve a reduction in contacts,” said Adalsteinn Brown, co-chair of the advisory group, who presented the latest forecasts at a news conference in Toronto.

Read more: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/covid-19-ontario-dec-16-2021-science-table-modelling-omicron-1.6287900

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